Different methodologies show an increasing, but still moderate, probability of recession in the short term.
The work that Central Banks are doing now has little to do with controlling current inflation.
If we are closer to the "inflation peak", then we should be near the bottom of the market.
We must put ourselves in the pants and skirts of the Central Bank Advisors and anticipate what is to come for the rate over the next few months.
We must not lose sight of the structural impacts of the social explosion and the pandemic on the labor market.
We must not forget the effort made in the 1990s to defeat inflation.