Monetary Policy

A central bank's credibility also depends on doing what makes the most sense for the economy, depending on the circumstances.

March 24, 2023 - 3 years
Is the end of the U.S. jobs supercycle near?

Temporary jobs have been declining since mid-2022.

January 27, 2023 - 3 years
Inflation / Monetary Policy

Will the third time be the charm?

January 13, 2023 - 3 years
The probability of a recession in the U.S. within the next year has increased significantly

Most baseline scenarios for 2023 assume either a soft landing or a mild recession, under the assumption that inflation will decelerate significantly and that the terminal policy rate would be in the range of 5.0% - 5.25%.

November 25, 2022 - 3 years
Rising Interest Rates and the Outlook for the U.S. Real Estate Sector

The U.S. real estate market is booming

May 13, 2022 - 4 years