The international trade and financial system is going through a silent crisis. It is not an abrupt collapse, but a progressive erosion of the equilibrium that once sustained the global order: the loss of industrial competitiveness of the United States, the overweight of the dollar as reserve currency and the rise of a China that plays by different rules.
In this context,Stephen Mirana close advisor to Donald Trump and nominee to chair theCouncil of Economic Advisersproposes an ambitious restructuring: not giving up the dollar's leadership, but demanding greater reciprocity and correcting the imbalances that are currently weakening the U.S. economy.
His proposal, embodied in the essay"A User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System", is much more than a tariff agenda.is much more than a tariff agenda. It is a redesign of the system to regain economic sovereignty and reduce the geopolitical vulnerabilities accumulated over decades.
The dollar is overvalued not by economic merit, but by structural design. The world's central banks accumulate dollar assets as reserves, generating inelastic demand that puts upward pressure on its exchange rate. This makes U.S. exports more expensive and stifles its manufacturing base.
This mismatch is the price of sustaining the global monetary system: for the world to have dollars, the United States must run deficits. In other words, while allies enjoy military protection and financial liquidity, American manufacturing workers foot the bill.
Miran's axes
The plan may seem disruptive, but Miran does not seek to tear down the system, but to reform it. Market volatility is a risk, yes, but it is also the price of regaining industrial and fiscal autonomy. The key is to implement changes gradually, with clear signals, progressive tariffs and coordination with monetary policy.
The United States cannot continue to finance the world at the expense of its productive backbone. If there is no restructuring, the alternative path is attrition and loss of influence.
This approach is not isolated.Ray Dalioa renowned investor, agrees on the diagnosis, but not on the solution. He comments that the world is living with unsustainable imbalances.
For Dalio, the US must reduce its deficit, reindustrialize and get out of debt. China, on the other hand, must do the opposite: reduce its surplus, increase consumption and curb its dependence on the US market.
Both agree on the essentials:the current system is not sustainable and an orderly rebalancing is preferable to a disorderly adjustment. What is at stake is not only the future of international trade, but also the ability of the United States to redefine its role without losing its power.Stephen Miran's proposal is not a breakup, it is a strategic redesign of the system.. One that demands reciprocity, fiscal efficiency and industrial autonomy.
The ideas presented here are not intended to be closed truths, but rather an invitation to think: CEA Chairman Steve Miran Hudson Institute Event Remarks - The White House.