In this new cycle, global private equity strategies with access to secondary markets, co-investments, and adequate diversification by vintage, sector, and geography appear better positioned to offer greater control over liquidity and duration, without losing exposure to quality assets.
Reforms and investment are central to the optimistic outlook for Argentina.
Recent events in the international market serve as a reminder that, beyond expected returns, private debt requires in-depth analysis of risks, selectivity, and actual cash flow generation capacity in different economic scenarios.
We believe Chile continues to offer a good entry point toward 2026, with historically attractive real rates, equity valuations below their long-term averages and a discount relative to emerging markets, as well as catalysts that could favor a gradual re-rating of local assets.
The recent case of Inversiones Portuarias Chancay shows how a well channeled mass of retail investors can change the face of an entire stock market in a matter of months. However, it can also be a minefield for those who enter late, ill-informed or undiversified.
We continue to have a constructive medium-term view, as the market is differentiating quality and reversing excesses in assets with poorer fundamentals, and this will limit the downside to much greater declines than we have seen so far.
For members, this new system may mean better returns and less risk of bad decisions, but also a reduced sense of control. For the industry, the next few years will be ones of technical adaptation, communication with clients and adjustment of investment models.
To understand how this new cycle may influence the economy and portfolios, we must separate what has become clearer from what remains uncertain.
China's technology sector has seen a year-to-date rally of more than 39%, nearly double that of the Nasdaq 100 in the US, and we believe that its strategic drive toward technological self-sufficiency and innovation is laying the foundation for this growth to continue.
Private debt has become a key alternative for companies that, like Don Alberto's, find in these funds an agile and flexible way to finance their growth.